AI researchers doubt current models will lead to achieving human intelligence

AI researchers doubt current models will lead to achieving human intelligence

A survey of hundreds of AI specialists from around the world reveals that a large majority believe that this technology needs a different approach to surpass its current capabilities

Artificial intelligence offers new developments weekly. Dozens of companies with billions in investment are competing to pass the latest human test or become the latest meme. However, an international survey of specialists has revealed strong distrust that continuing down this path will lead us to human-like artificial intelligence; what is known in the industry as artificial general intelligence (AGI). The survey is the work of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), a U.S. scientific organization that surveyed 475 AI academics and professionals from around the world: 76% believe it is “very unlikely” or “unlikely” that the increase in current approaches will achieve AGI.

[…]

With these subtle pitfalls, the difficulty in defining the threshold of purely human intelligence and knowing how to reach it complicates the picture. “My definition of artificial general intelligence is an AI with the same level of competence and complexity as human intelligence, including concepts as difficult as self-awareness,” says Nuria Oliver, scientific director and co-founder of the Ellis Alicante Foundation. “We are very far from reaching it, and I don’t know if we will ever achieve it.”

[…]